Earthquakes on Reykjanes Peninsula increase volcanic activity risk in Iceland

Earthquakes on the Reykjanes Peninsula suggest an increased likelihood of volcanic activity in the coming days, according to experts. Data indicates an uptick in seismic activity, with 20 to 35 earthquakes recorded each day and ongoing magma accumulation.

Natural disaster specialist Jóhanna Malen Skúladóttir notes that the frequency of tremors is rising steadily, signaling a build-up of pressure that heightens the risk of a lava flow or even an eruption. She explains that land elevation is stabilizing, indicating a slight slowdown in its rise, which is a common precursor to volcanic events.

Current analysis considers two possible scenarios for an eruption near Grindavík. One involves magma following historical paths, which could lead to an eruption with very little warning. This is due to significant pressure release in those areas, enabling magma to rise to the surface more easily.

The second scenario suggests magma might break through south of Hagafell towards Grindavík. In this case, stronger seismic activity would be expected, potentially providing a longer lead time before an eruption, as the magma would have to travel a more extended route.

The situation remains dynamic, and experts continue to monitor the developments closely, urging local residents to stay informed and prepared.